I may have been the first person to predict that the ed sec job will go to Bill Richardson, but I’m no longer the only one who thinks it’s a real possibility. He’s moved into the bronze medal position in our daily tracking poll of Washington insiders. Still, Arne Duncan has a commanding lead, with almost a one in three chance of getting the nod.

Other folks mentioned today: Janet Napolitano (come on folks, don’t you read the papers, not to mention this blog?), Colin Powell, Hugh Price, Caroline Kennedy, Tim Kaine, Peter McWalters, Erskine Bowles, Ted Michell, Linda Darling-Hammond, Jim Hunt, Jim Shelton, Alan Bersin, and (ha!) Mike Huckabee.

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